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Summer Budget: Economic view

The chancellor stuck to his pre-election objective of eliminating the budget deficit before the end of this Parliament but provided more concrete details of how he would achieve this. In particular he opted for a smoother profile of real spending cuts over the next four years which is sensible in allowing affected government departments local authorities and households more time to adjust. But there is still a lot of pain to come.
 
The OBR’s view of UK economic prospects has changed little since March. As the table shows it still expects economic growth to proceed at a steady pace of around 2.3–2.4% and still expects inflation to rise back gradually towards its 2% target over the next few years. Excluding the new...

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